MLB Public Betting Splits & Money Percentages
The run total splits in this case would be 10% for the over and 90% for the under. Sports betting isn’t easy or everyone would do it professionally. The ideas here – RLM, steam, splits, roobetofficial.com etc. – give you an edge in information, but you still have to apply good judgment. By contrast, some softer books might limit or shade away from sharps, but even they will move lines if they see the market (led by sharp books) moving. For instance, maybe 75% of bets are on the NFL favorite at -3, but the point spread drops to -2.5. Wait, the favorite is getting all the love, so shouldn’t they go to -3.5 or -4?
What Does It Mean When “% Handle” and “% Bets” Favor Different Teams?
- In sports betting, “sharp” bettors (professionals) and “square” bettors (recreational players) have different habits and influence on the betting market.
- Sadly, most information that’s made readily available to the public, is mostly useless as far as finding value is concerned.
- Often, this means that sharp bettors are betting on Team Y (as sharps tend to bet more than Joe Public).
- This strategy can be effective in cases where public perception heavily influences betting lines.
- This „reverse line movement“ is the strongest indicator that a fade opportunity exists.
- Websites like ESPN and CBS (as well as advanced betting platforms) provide access to real-time data on betting percentages.
The recent Minnesota-Phoenix consensus split (68%-32%) demonstrates how public biases extend into women’s sports, often with even more pronounced effects. The public bias creates a fundamental market inefficiency—and now we can measure it precisely with publicly available consensus data. Innovation in sportsbetting comes from a deep understanding of both technology and the human element of sports. To get the biggest bonuses that can be used to tail or fade the public, be sure to check out the latest Caesars Sportsbook promo code prior to kick-off.
Reverse line movement is when the public is on one team, but the line actually moves towards the other team. WagerLens operates independently and is not affiliated with any professional sports organizations. All team names, logos, and related content are property of their respective owners. Paruyr’s vision is to revolutionize the sports entertainment industry by integrating technology. He sees the future of sports entertainment as a blend of traditional sports knowledge with innovative tech solutions, like decentralized protocols, to enhance user experience and fairness. He aims to create platforms that are not only user-friendly but also uphold the highest standards of ethical reporting, contributing to a more responsible and enjoyable sports culture.
Books Keep Mispricing Run-Heavy NFL Teams. Exploit It.
Our betting data isn’t “Consensus Data” taken from contest sites and handicapper forums. Learn more about consensus betting data, versus the betting trends data found on Sportsinsights.com. Some sportsbooks also post betting percentages, giving you a glimpse into where the public and sharper bettors are leaning.
In my opinion, the money percentage is the more important of the two NFL public betting percentages. You’ll often hear money percentages referred to as the “% of handle”. First off, the betting handle is simply the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type. They track how betting patterns change over time, not just single-game snapshots (think of it as a macro-view). These trends show which teams consistently attract public money and how betting behavior shifts during the season. Unlike public betting percentages, trends reveal longer patterns.